Thứ Hai, 22 tháng 11, 2010

Game theory


Game theory is a branch of applied mathematics that is used in the social sciences, most notably in economics, as well as in biology(particularly evolutionary biology and ecology), engineeringpolitical scienceinternational relationscomputer science, and philosophy. Game theory attempts to mathematically capture behavior in strategic situations, or games, in which an individual's success in making choices depends on the choices of others (Myerson, 1991). While initially developed to analyze competitions in which one individual does better at another's expense (zero sum games), it has been expanded to treat a wide class of interactions, which are classified according to severalcriteria. Today, "game theory is a sort of umbrella or 'unified field' theory for the rational side of social science, where 'social' is interpreted broadly, to include human as well as non-human players (computers, animals, plants)" (Aumann 1987).
Traditional applications of game theory attempt to find equilibria in these games. In an equilibrium, each player of the game has adopted a strategy that they are unlikely to change. Many equilibrium concepts have been developed (most famously the Nash equilibrium) in an attempt to capture this idea. These equilibrium concepts are motivated differently depending on the field of application, although they often overlap or coincide. This methodology is not without criticism, and debates continue over the appropriateness of particular equilibrium concepts, the appropriateness of equilibria altogether, and the usefulness of mathematical models more generally.
Although some developments occurred before it, the field of game theory came into being with Émile Borel's researches in his 1938 bookApplications aux Jeux des Hazard, and was followed by the 1944 book Theory of Games and Economic Behavior by John von Neumann andOskar Morgenstern. This theory was developed extensively in the 1950s by many scholars. Game theory was later explicitly applied to biology in the 1970s, although similar developments go back at least as far as the 1930s. Game theory has been widely recognized as an important tool in many fields. Eight game theorists have won the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, and John Maynard Smith was awarded theCrafoord Prize for his application of game theory to biology.

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